Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.011522 0.013852 0.016739 0.020656 0.025956 0.033073 0.043718
2025-08-03 0.008646 0.011296 0.015010 0.020849 0.030339 0.046327 0.078578
2025-08-10 0.006927 0.009503 0.013391 0.020113 0.032529 0.057437 0.123001
2025-08-17 0.005712 0.008089 0.011860 0.018822 0.032943 0.065471 0.174205
2025-08-24 0.004888 0.007096 0.010735 0.017825 0.033387 0.073991 0.247049
2025-08-31 0.004470 0.006666 0.010444 0.018265 0.037123 0.094774 0.446398
2025-09-07 0.004006 0.006082 0.009761 0.017707 0.038216 0.109131 0.710902
2025-09-14 0.003598 0.005538 0.009055 0.016909 0.038333 0.120671 1.095681
2025-09-21 0.003341 0.005227 0.008737 0.016897 0.040737 0.146042 2.286773
2025-09-28 0.003203 0.005109 0.008774 0.017731 0.046327 0.199863 9.605807
2025-10-05 0.003152 0.005144 0.009125 0.019466 0.056457 0.319447 2003.613552
2025-10-12 0.003043 0.005054 0.009193 0.020479 0.064882 0.477675 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002854 0.004806 0.008924 0.020612 0.070553 0.675273 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002683 0.004580 0.008674 0.020769 0.077022 1.007360 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002483 0.004272 0.008187 0.020035 0.078129 1.275886 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002276 0.003932 0.007580 0.018751 0.075014 1.384290 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002106 0.003654 0.007092 0.017758 0.073151 1.566193 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002025 0.003555 0.007024 0.018196 0.081495 2.846815 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001905 0.003363 0.006701 0.017641 0.082324 3.825515 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001786 0.003163 0.006335 0.016847 0.080715 4.594049 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001710 0.003052 0.006186 0.016835 0.085731 8.460438 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001675 0.003025 0.006250 0.017664 0.099910 39.841486 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001671 0.003068 0.006506 0.019390 0.128306 NaN NaN